Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ADA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-05 0.547507 0.628365 0.716371 0.819181 0.935902 1.064210 1.215860
2025-01-12 0.417796 0.525121 0.652120 0.813118 1.011404 1.247237 1.548612
2025-01-19 0.315003 0.430960 0.579243 0.781920 1.050803 1.394242 1.865047
2025-01-26 0.259638 0.384103 0.555009 0.805194 1.160174 1.643540 2.348955
2025-02-02 0.220954 0.351454 0.542816 0.841130 1.291105 1.940317 2.942594
2025-02-09 0.183315 0.312299 0.513515 0.846231 1.377499 2.186116 3.500802
2025-02-16 0.152490 0.277173 0.483332 0.843522 1.449896 2.419571 4.072917
2025-02-23 0.128718 0.248703 0.458233 0.843636 1.525125 2.665802 4.697690
2025-03-02 0.109357 0.223921 0.434602 0.841362 1.594483 2.909834 5.349979
2025-03-09 0.095740 0.207018 0.421789 0.855575 1.693701 3.216052 6.147518
2025-03-16 0.082027 0.187050 0.399503 0.847749 1.750104 3.451929 6.847897
2025-03-23 0.073077 0.175129 0.390805 0.864649 1.855382 3.789615 7.777495
2025-03-30 0.062735 0.158265 0.369458 0.853118 1.904266 4.029884 8.559861
2025-04-06 0.055707 0.147560 0.359470 0.864144 2.001538 4.378451 9.602773
2025-04-13 0.047504 0.132243 0.336395 0.842228 2.024731 4.578826 10.368687
2025-04-20 0.043767 0.127420 0.336945 0.874800 2.173836 5.063044 11.794109
2025-04-27 0.041025 0.124647 0.341979 0.918912 2.355882 5.641201 13.494035
2025-05-04 0.036857 0.117019 0.333415 0.927932 2.455916 6.048598 14.862489
2025-05-11 0.032807 0.108812 0.321837 0.927255 2.532010 6.410232 16.169687
2025-05-18 0.029371 0.101654 0.311781 0.928881 2.614057 6.795691 17.578772
2025-05-25 0.026257 0.094776 0.301235 0.927372 2.687686 7.169596 19.004324
2025-06-01 0.024074 0.090420 0.297213 0.943618 2.811149 7.681794 20.830665
2025-06-08 0.021440 0.083901 0.285485 0.935456 2.866389 8.027432 22.277415